The Pivot Audits — all 22 occupations

One page per high-exposure occupation: the honest exposure read (both indices, disagreements shown), the real BLS numbers, what the “related occupations” pivot list actually offers, and 2–3 priced escape routes. The one-page overview of the finding itself is on the front page.

How to read this page (the honest frame)

“Exposure” is not a layoff prediction. The indices measure how much an occupation's task content overlaps with what AI systems can do — published research, not prophecy. The Anthropic Economic Index states its data “cannot ground advice on career choices in either direction,” and the AIOE authors describe exposure, not displacement.
Sources disagree, and we show it. Where BLS projects growth for an occupation the indices score as highly exposed, both numbers appear. We do not pick the scarier one.
Every figure is dated. All numbers on this page were re-derived from the named primary sources on 2026-08-15. Prices and projections change; check the source link before acting on any figure.
No scare copy. If a number looks calm, that is what the source says. If it looks bad, same.

How these 22 were chosen. All 774 AIOE-scored occupations were ranked by exposure percentile × BLS employment (fetched live 2026-08-15); the top 20 with percentile ≥ 70 and an O*NET related-occupations list are here. Two detail codes were excluded because their published employment figures belong to “All Other” parent occupations (Regulatory Affairs Managers; Business Continuity Planners) — including them would misattribute headcount. Two seed occupations (Paralegals, Graphic Designers) are added because their “will AI take my … job” search phrasings are directly attested in autocomplete data (Google autocomplete harvest, 2026-08-15).

Occupation	AIOE pctl	Employed (2024)	Median wage (2025)	BLS 2024–34
Customer Service Representatives	73rd	2,814,000	$44,770	Decline (-1%)
Office Clerks, General	74th	2,646,000	$45,010	Decline (-1%)
Accountants and Auditors	99th	1,579,800	$83,680	Faster than average (5% to 6%)
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive	78th	1,944,000	$47,540	Decline (-1%)
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks	77th	1,613,400	$50,670	Decline (-1%)
First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers	76th	1,558,400	$69,500	Little or no change
Management Analysts	98th	1,075,100	$101,860	Much faster than average (7%+)
Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education	72nd	1,422,700	$63,970	Decline (-1%)
Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists	97th	941,700	$78,760	Much faster than average (7%+)
Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education	82nd	1,094,500	$72,040	Decline (-1%)
Human Resources Specialists	94th	944,300	$75,940	Faster than average (5% to 6%)
Financial Managers	98th	868,600	$166,570	Much faster than average (7%+)
Lawyers	90th	864,800	$159,670	Average (3% to 4%)
Receptionists and Information Clerks	75th	1,007,200	$38,010	Little or no change
Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants	83rd	850,000	$45,930	Average (3% to 4%)
Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education	87th	633,700	$64,370	Decline (-1%)
Sales Managers	85th	619,500	$148,270	Faster than average (5% to 6%)
Medical and Health Services Managers	85th	616,200	$123,860	Much faster than average (7%+)
Insurance Sales Agents	91st	568,800	$62,280	Average (3% to 4%)
Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale, Retail, and Farm Products	100th	522,200	$77,710	Faster than average (5% to 6%)
Paralegals and Legal Assistants seed	87th	376,200	$62,890	Little or no change
Graphic Designers seed	67th	265,900	$62,960	Slower than average (1% to 2%)

Employment and wages: BLS via O*NET OnLine, fetched 2026-08-15. Exposure: Felten–Raj–Seamans AIOE percentiles (average-rank method), computed 2026-08-15.

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